Capital Markets Review Digital Archive

In Q3, equities dipped 3.4% but are up 11.2% YTD. Rising bond yields impacted US stocks, while international equities felt pressure from Europe and China. Bonds faced challenges, but high-yield assets remained resilient. Hedge funds saw modest growth, while private equity hinted at promising gains. In this environment, we see US Treasuries and certain private investments as offering the most attractive risk-adjusted returns.

Global equity markets (ACWI Index) rose by 6.2% in Q2 and gained 16.7% YTD through July 14, 2023, with US stocks leading the rally due to optimism in tech companies, decreased inflation, positive economic data, and the resolution of the regional banking crisis. International equities had a less impressive performance, while fixed-income markets experienced modest declines and hedge funds saw moderate gains in Q2.

Q1 2023 saw strong US employment and economic data, which led to a spike in US Treasury yields. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank on March 10th altered investor expectations regarding interest rate trajectory and economic growth. The equity market has rallied since the SVB news as investors cheered prospects for a sooner-than-expected end to rate hikes followed by possible pivots to interest rate cuts.

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