recent market commentary

CAD November Market Commentary

Noteworthy Developments: Global equities, as represented by the MSCI ACWI Index, declined 0.2% (flat in USD) during the month with periods of high volatility. The CAD strengthened by 0.2% vs. the USD.  Global Equities: Global equities were down 0.2%, with US large-cap equities (S&P 500) flat, international developed equities up 0.4% and emerging market equities down 2.6%.  As of Nov 21st, equity markets had sold off worldwide (down between 2.7% to 5.0%) as AI exposed equities (especially in the US

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Perspective Amid Market Uncertainty

Since peaking at 6,147 on February 19th, the S&P 500 has dropped 9.4% to 5,572 by March 11, 2025, bringing its YTD decline to 5.2%. Interestingly, this decline contrasts with a 6.0% YTD gain in international equities (MSCI ACWI ex USA Index). This marks a reversal of the long-standing trend where US equities significantly outperformed global markets. In the note below, we explore the causes behind the US equity market’s recent weakness and its implications for future performance.

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Trump Administration Policies and Potential Impacts on Markets

Relative to the outgoing Biden Administration, the incoming Trump Administration has discussed implementing significantly different policies across immigration, tariffs, taxes, and regulations. With control of both houses of Congress (albeit with a razor-thin majority in the House of Representatives), Trump has a good chance of enacting much of his policy agenda. In the note below, we discuss potential policy shifts and their implications for equity markets across various geographies.

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USD September Market Performance

Global equities, as represented by the MSCI ACWI Index, saw solid gains, rising 2.3% However, there were notable regional disparities. The US Federal Reserve delivered its first interest rate cut of the year, lowering rates by 50 basis points.

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CAD August Market Performance

Global equities (MSCI ACWI Index) continued to appreciate strongly, albeit with high volatility. The ACWI Index sharply declined by 5.4% the first week of the month before furiously rallying to end August up 2.5%.

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USD August Market Performance

Global equities (MSCI ACWI Index) continued to appreciate strongly, albeit with high volatility. The ACWI Index sharply declined by 5.4% the first week of the month before furiously rallying to end August up 2.5%.

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Recent Equity Market Declines

Although we recently provided a quarterly update, equity markets have declined swiftly over the past few days while bonds have appreciated as yields have tumbled. We wish to share our current thoughts regarding the factors behind these moves and the potential implications going forward.

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Silicon Valley Bank Event

SVB, the 10th largest US bank, was shut down by regulators due to insolvency on Friday March 10, 2013. The bank had a classic mismatch in its assets and liabilities, including a significant amount of deposits from Silicon Valley start-ups and high-growth technology and healthcare companies.

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