USD August Market Commentary

Noteworthy Developments 

Global equities, as represented by the MSCI ACWI Index, appreciated 2.5% during August, with positive performance across all major regions.

Global Equities 

Global equities increased by 2.5%, with US large-cap equities (S&P 500) up 2.4%, international developed equities up 3.3% and emerging market equities gaining 1.6%.

The strong performance of the S&P 500 was driven by ongoing positive AI sentiment and better-than expected corporate earnings. US equity markets were also buoyed by increasing prospects for near term interest rate cuts following weak job market reports indicated a faster-than-expected cooling of the labor market. Developed equity markets’ performance (+0.5% in local currency) was positively impacted by currency translation, with the USD weakening considerably during the month. In local currency terms, European equities were up 1.6% and Japanese equities down 2.7%. The gains in emerging markets were primarily driven by strength in Taiwan equities (+3.4%), which benefitted from semiconductor stocks’ strong performance.

Globally, growth stocks (+2.4%) and value stocks (+2.7%) both performed well. Almost all sectors delivered positive performance. Healthcare and consumer staples sectors (+5.5% and +5.0%) performed best, while energy and consumer discretionary sectors (-0.5% and 0.7%) performed worst. Within the US, small-cap stocks appreciated 7.1%, with gains driven by positive sentiment around likely US interest rate cuts, as small-caps are more sensitive to rate cuts than large caps given that they carry higher debt balances.

Fixed Income 

The US Aggregate Bond Index was up 1.4%, with performance driven by coupon income, and price appreciation driven by declining bond yields. US government bonds were up 1.3% as bond yields declined across the curve by 15bps to 35bps (shorter-term bond yields declined more than longer term yields). Investment-grade corporate bonds appreciated by 1.6% with performance benefiting from declining base rates and modest spread compression. High-yield bonds were up 1.6%, with
positive contributions driven by high coupon rates and declining base rates. Leveraged loans were up 0.6% with performance driven by high current income offset by modest spread widening.

Alternatives 

The HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index was up 1.1%, with all major strategies delivering positive performance. Global macro / trend following (+2.0%) and long/short equity (+1.5%) strategies performed best.

Manager Comments 

Waterfall: +5.0%

Outperformed the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index (+1.1%) with performance driven by general tightening in structured credit spreads coupled with outperformance from idiosyncratic positions, including those in the aircraft sector.

 

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