Macroeconomic Conditions
The US economy is holding up well with strong consumer spending but weak manufacturing data. A mild recession is predicted for 2024, while Canada's growth may slow due to rising household debt costs, and Europe's growth has stagnated with negative GDP growth in some quarters
Inflation and Labor Markets
Inflation has peaked in major regions, but the pace of core inflation's decline remains uncertain. Labor markets in the US and Canada are healthy but showing signs of loosening, with job additions slowing down and unfilled vacancies decreasing.
Strategic Asset Allocation View (7-years)
The seven-year forecast predicts declining interest rates but at higher levels compared to the past decade. Labor shortages and geopolitical uncertainties are present, while equity returns are predicted to be mid-to-high single digits with growth stocks outperforming value stocks, albeit at a slower
Capital Markets Executive Summary
Global equity markets (ACWI Index) rose by 6.2% in Q2 and gained 16.7% YTD through July 14, 2023, with US stocks leading the rally due to optimism in tech companies, decreased inflation, positive economic data, and the resolution of the regional banking crisis. International equities had a less impr
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